Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 7.927123 8.912416 10.080668 11.601049 13.581717 16.162438 19.952023
2024-12-15 7.503604 8.979020 10.956801 13.973247 18.858237 27.516336 48.442749
2024-12-22 6.580619 8.192209 10.536864 14.561917 22.443310 42.153463 167.495217
2024-12-29 6.174052 8.027740 10.991113 16.909236 32.413941 119.441587 NaN
2025-01-05 5.729299 7.719235 11.167993 19.134111 48.984955 NaN NaN
2025-01-12 5.144885 7.077422 10.594535 19.543792 65.148414 NaN NaN
2025-01-19 4.607740 6.425218 9.842873 19.160040 81.664458 NaN NaN
2025-01-26 4.479320 6.460394 10.511709 23.945741 419.549212 NaN NaN
2025-02-02 4.522235 6.827184 12.145142 37.087223 NaN NaN NaN
2025-02-09 4.374441 6.798472 12.865465 51.337464 NaN NaN NaN
2025-02-16 4.176063 6.627670 13.152681 68.301530 NaN NaN NaN
2025-02-23 3.947060 6.349756 13.012586 84.345136 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-02 3.676153 5.982046 12.607603 103.510188 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-09 3.509210 5.826053 12.924531 196.126660 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-16 3.201526 5.291916 11.605606 148.947848 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-23 3.038888 5.082339 11.496252 247.655113 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-30 2.872210 4.838126 11.158451 392.309191 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-06 2.666414 4.472901 10.200427 263.737546 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-13 2.472309 4.118847 9.221401 163.007746 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-20 2.412945 4.086262 9.564199 591.607832 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-27 2.413298 4.203015 10.670583 NaN NaN NaN NaN
2025-05-04 2.352856 4.154218 11.002700 NaN NaN NaN NaN
2025-05-11 2.276525 4.052178 11.014827 NaN NaN NaN NaN